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本文节选自《Look Again 万维钢》电子版:
andmoreperceptive.Wejliketothinkthatbecomingaware(viaknowledgeofbehavioralscience)ofwhyandwhenpeopleareunlikelytonoticediscriminationwillincreasethelikelihoodthatmoreindividualswilPerceivetheProblemsaroundthem.SomePeoplew记alsobecourageousenoughtotrytofaxthoseProblems.Thatleadstothenextquestion:HovwcanthosedishabituationentrepreneuishelpothersdishabituateySURPRISEDBYBIASAswestressedeatjlier,thebrainisapredictivemachine.堆ItscentralmissionistoPredict,asaccuratelyaspossible,whatw刘happennextsothatitcanprepareandreactintime一tohidebeforetheenemyatfives,hoardwaterbeforethedrought,haveanumbrellahandywhenitpours,WegenerateaccuratePredictionsbywatchingandlearning,WeobserveyearafteryearthatinNovemberitrainsmorethaninJune,sowecatrryanumbrelladuringlatefallratherthanearlysummer.WeareconstantlyabsorbingdatafromtheworldandconsciouslyorUnconsciouslyUpdatingourjudgmentstoenableustomakeaccuratePredictions.AttheirbesbourneuronsareSophisticatedbiologicalcalculators,keepingtrackoffrequencies,means,associations,andmore.So让forexample,mostpilotswemeetaremen,weexpecttoSeeamalepilotwhenwegetonaPlane.WhenthoseexpectationsaremebthereisnosurprisesignalinouUrbrainalertingusthatsomethingiswrong.Fromthesestatisticalobservationswethenmakeassumptionsaboutthe
Look Again 【再看一眼】 pdf
underlyingcause.Ifmostpilotsaremales,ouUrbrainw计quicklyconcludethatmenareespeciallysuitedtofyingaPlane.开the“data”isbiasedbecauseofhistoricaldiscrimination,,ratherthanreflectingsomekindoftruthaboutthecapabilitiesofmenandwomen,OUconclusionswillbebiasedbecauseouUrbrainisdoingwhatitwasbuilttodo:deducegeneralrulesbasedonPerception.EverydaywerelyonsuchStereotypesandgeneralizationswhenmakingdecisions.Indecidingwhomtohire,employersoftenuseProxiesofmanysorts,even让thoseproxiesareoverbroadgenerajizationsandfarfromentirelyaccurate.Forexample,testScores,employmentrecords,levelofeducation,andPrestigeofcollegeattendedareallPartofwhatyoumaythinkofasrationalfactorsinemploymentdecisions,YoumightchoosesomeonewhowenttoagreatUniversityoverSomeonewhowenttoagooduniversityeventhoughplentyofPeoplewhowenttogooduniversitieswoulddobetterthanplentyofpeoplewhowenttogreatUniversities.Raceandsexoftenoperateassimilarproxies.Womenmaybemorejlikely由anmentobethePrimarycaretakersofchildrenandmorelikelytoleavetheemploymentmafrkettotakethatrole.Ifso,anemployermightdiscriminatenotbecausehedislikesordevalueswomenorisprejudicedintheordinarysense,butbecausehebelieves(onthebasiseitherofplausibleassumptionsofactualexperience)thatsomeStereotypeistrueenoughtobeabasisfore
Look Again 【再看一眼】 pdf
mploymentdecisions,Overtime,suchStatisticaldiscriminationcanbeaself-fulfillingProphecy.Itcanaggravatetheveryproblemtowhichitisaresponse.Matterscangetevenworseonceyouaddartificialintelligencesystemstothemix.AIsystemasarebuilttoimitatethehumanmind一theyuseinputsfromtheworldaroundthemtomakepredictionsandjudgments.瑟HIthedatatheyreceiveisbiased,AIsystemsw计reactlikehumanbeings:thedecisionsandrecommendationstheymakewillbebiased.ConsidertheexperienceofDavidandJamieHeinemeierHansson.eIn2019thematriedcoupleappliedforanApplecreditcard.TIhetwosharealltheirfinancialresources,includingbankaccountsandProperty.、Theywere由usastonishedtolearnthatAppleofferedDavidamuchhighercreditlimitthanitdidtohiswife,Jamie一twentytimeshigher.AfterSharingtheirstoryonsocialmedia,theydiscoveredthatothershadexperiencedthesame,includingApplecofounderSteveWozniakandhiswife.Applewasusingabiasedmachine-learningalgorithmtoassigncredit,TIodevelopcredit-cardscoring,,analgorithmisfedmillionsofexamplesofgoodchoices(forexample,dataonpeoplewhohavepaidtheirdebb)andbadchoices(forexample,dataonpeoplewhohavenot).ItthenlearnswhichfactorsPredictgoodchoices.Iffemalesarepaidlessthanmalesorfnditmorediffculttogetajobbecauseofgenderdiscrimination,thealgorithmwillconcludethatmalesare
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